NSE

Reliance Industries Limited

RELIANCE.NS

₹1,325.70

+32.70+2.53%

Day High

₹1,333.90

Day Low

₹1,324.00

52W High

₹1,611.80

52W Low

₹1,253.20

Volume

48.03L

Prev Close

₹1,293.00

Currency

INR

Last update

18/06/26, 6:31 am

Composite signal

HOLD

Score-5/100

Price above 20-day SMA (short-term uptrend)
20-day SMA below 50-day SMA (bearish regime)
Trading below 200-day SMA (long-term bear trend)
RSI 50.6: bullish momentum
MACD above signal line (bullish)

Price · Moving averages · Bollinger bands

RSI (14)

MACD (12, 26, 9)

Descriptive statistics (1Y)

Annualized return: -5.62%
Annualized volatility: 20.29%
Sharpe ratio (rf 6%): -0.57
Max drawdown: -20.94%
Best day: 3.53%
Worst day: -4.60%
Skewness: -0.14
Excess kurtosis: 1.18
Value-at-Risk 95% (1d): 2.10%
Conditional VaR 95%: 2.93%
Up/Down days: 118 / 127

Daily return distribution (%)

Linear regression forecast (30d)

30d target

₹1,281.04

Trend

-3.37%

R²

0.189

OLS regression on last 60 trading days; shaded band shows 95% prediction interval.

Monte Carlo simulation · 1,000 paths · 30d

Expected

₹1,313.36

Median

₹1,309.21

5% – 95%

₹1,169 – ₹1,473

P(gain)

43.4%

Geometric Brownian Motion using historical drift & volatility. Probability of finishing above today's close after 30 trading days: 43.4%.

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