NSE

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited

ONGC.NS

₹243.80

-2.40-0.97%

Day High

₹246.85

Day Low

₹243.75

52W High

₹307.50

52W Low

₹228.61

Volume

52.33L

Prev Close

₹246.20

Currency

INR

Last update

18/06/26, 8:16 am

Composite signal

STRONG SELL

Score-50/100

Price below 20-day SMA (short-term weakness)
20-day SMA below 50-day SMA (bearish regime)
Trading below 200-day SMA (long-term bear trend)
RSI 26.1: oversold (mean-reversion buy)
MACD below signal line (bearish)
Negative 1-month momentum (-17.6%)

Price · Moving averages · Bollinger bands

RSI (14)

MACD (12, 26, 9)

Descriptive statistics (1Y)

Annualized return: -0.04%
Annualized volatility: 23.14%
Sharpe ratio (rf 6%): -0.26
Max drawdown: -19.16%
Best day: 8.32%
Worst day: -5.58%
Skewness: 0.74
Excess kurtosis: 5.73
Value-at-Risk 95% (1d): 2.29%
Conditional VaR 95%: 3.20%
Up/Down days: 120 / 126

Daily return distribution (%)

Linear regression forecast (30d)

30d target

₹250.47

Trend

+2.74%

R²

0.283

OLS regression on last 60 trading days; shaded band shows 95% prediction interval.

Monte Carlo simulation · 1,000 paths · 30d

Expected

₹242.46

Median

₹241.68

5% – 95%

₹211 – ₹275

P(gain)

45.2%

Geometric Brownian Motion using historical drift & volatility. Probability of finishing above today's close after 30 trading days: 45.2%.

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