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NSE
NTPC Limited
NTPC.NS
₹361.65
+7.75+2.19%Day High
₹363.55
Day Low
₹354.05
52W High
₹414.40
52W Low
₹315.55
Volume
84.7L
Prev Close
₹353.90
Currency
INR
Last update
18/06/26, 8:17 am
Composite signal
SELL
Score-41/100
- Price below 20-day SMA (short-term weakness)
- 20-day SMA below 50-day SMA (bearish regime)
- Trading above 200-day SMA (long-term bull trend)
- RSI 41.5: bearish momentum
- MACD below signal line (bearish)
- Negative 1-month momentum (-7.0%)
Price · Moving averages · Bollinger bands
RSI (14)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
Descriptive statistics (1Y)
- Annualized return
- 10.27%
- Annualized volatility
- 18.68%
- Sharpe ratio (rf 6%)
- 0.23
- Max drawdown
- -15.14%
- Best day
- 4.70%
- Worst day
- -3.11%
- Skewness
- 0.41
- Excess kurtosis
- 0.89
- Value-at-Risk 95% (1d)
- 1.68%
- Conditional VaR 95%
- 2.27%
- Up/Down days
- 121 / 120
Daily return distribution (%)
Linear regression forecast (30d)
30d target
₹363.43
Trend
+0.49%
R²
0.110
OLS regression on last 60 trading days; shaded band shows 95% prediction interval.
Monte Carlo simulation · 1,000 paths · 30d
Expected
₹366.31
Median
₹365.10
5% – 95%
₹329 – ₹409
P(gain)
56.0%
Geometric Brownian Motion using historical drift & volatility. Probability of finishing above today's close after 30 trading days: 56.0%.
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