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ITC Limited

ITC.NS
₹290.00
+4.90+1.72%
Day High
₹291.90
Day Low
₹288.00
52W High
₹427.00
52W Low
₹275.05
Volume
58.3L
Prev Close
₹285.10
Currency
INR
Last update
18/06/26, 8:01 am
Composite signal
SELL
Score-27/100
  • Price above 20-day SMA (short-term uptrend)
  • 20-day SMA below 50-day SMA (bearish regime)
  • Trading below 200-day SMA (long-term bear trend)
  • RSI 48.0: bearish momentum
  • MACD above signal line (bullish)
  • Negative 1-month momentum (-5.9%)

Price · Moving averages · Bollinger bands

RSI (14)

MACD (12, 26, 9)

Descriptive statistics (1Y)

Annualized return
-34.57%
Annualized volatility
19.34%
Sharpe ratio (rf 6%)
-2.10
Max drawdown
-34.76%
Best day
5.03%
Worst day
-9.71%
Skewness
-1.75
Excess kurtosis
15.67
Value-at-Risk 95% (1d)
1.97%
Conditional VaR 95%
3.04%
Up/Down days
112 / 133

Daily return distribution (%)

Linear regression forecast (30d)

30d target
₹283.70
Trend
-2.17%
0.163

OLS regression on last 60 trading days; shaded band shows 95% prediction interval.

Monte Carlo simulation · 1,000 paths · 30d

Expected
₹278.28
Median
₹277.67
5% – 95%
₹245 – ₹311
P(gain)
26.0%

Geometric Brownian Motion using historical drift & volatility. Probability of finishing above today's close after 30 trading days: 26.0%.

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