NSE

HCL Technologies Limited

HCLTECH.NS

₹1,156.80

+47.20+4.25%

Day High

₹1,168.80

Day Low

₹1,136.10

52W High

₹1,780.10

52W Low

₹1,089.50

Volume

15.8L

Prev Close

₹1,109.60

Currency

INR

Last update

18/06/26, 8:16 am

Composite signal

SELL

Score-41/100

Price below 20-day SMA (short-term weakness)
20-day SMA below 50-day SMA (bearish regime)
Trading below 200-day SMA (long-term bear trend)
RSI 46.7: bearish momentum
MACD above signal line (bullish)

Price · Moving averages · Bollinger bands

RSI (14)

MACD (12, 26, 9)

Descriptive statistics (1Y)

Annualized return: -36.48%
Annualized volatility: 25.83%
Sharpe ratio (rf 6%): -1.64
Max drawdown: -36.23%
Best day: 4.23%
Worst day: -10.82%
Skewness: -1.52
Excess kurtosis: 8.11
Value-at-Risk 95% (1d): 2.21%
Conditional VaR 95%: 4.47%
Up/Down days: 118 / 128

Daily return distribution (%)

Linear regression forecast (30d)

30d target

₹918.12

Trend

-20.63%

R²

0.684

OLS regression on last 60 trading days; shaded band shows 95% prediction interval.

Monte Carlo simulation · 1,000 paths · 30d

Expected

₹1,114.06

Median

₹1,106.87

5% – 95%

₹967 – ₹1,282

P(gain)

33.5%

Geometric Brownian Motion using historical drift & volatility. Probability of finishing above today's close after 30 trading days: 33.5%.

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